Re: [math-fun] math-fun Digest, Vol 113, Issue 7
From: Ray Tayek <rtayek@ca.rr.com> Subject: [math-fun] ON "ITERATED PRISONER?S DILEMMA CONTAINS STRATEGIES THAT DOMINATE ANY EVOLUTIONARY OPPONENT" The highly technical paper, <http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2012/05/16/1206569109.abstract>" Prisoner?s Dilemma contains strategies that dominate any evolutionary opponent" by William H. Press and Freeman J. Dyson has now been published in PNAS (May 22, 2012), which was followed by a PNAS Commentary by Alexander Stewart and Joshua Plotkin of the Department of Biology, University of Pennsylvania
--based on trying to figure out what they are doing without actually reading it, it seems they are arguing that if the opponent in IPD generates his moves via a Markov chain... which presumably is necessarily true for any real opponent given the laws of physics since that opponent is bounded, i.e. has a finite bounded number of states, and has access to a source of randomness, and hence must be a Markov chain on those states... then you, where by "you" I mean a Turing machine, can outplay him asymptotically by learning his markov model and then predicting his play. This is probably completely irrelevant to real life because the "number of states" of a human being containing 10^27 atoms is going to be around 2^(10^27) if each atom could store 1 bit, so the time it takes to learn your opponent's Markov chain in real life is going to far exceed the lifetime of that human, or for that matter of the universe. -- Warren D. Smith http://RangeVoting.org <-- add your endorsement (by clicking "endorse" as 1st step)
This is probably completely irrelevant to real life because the "number of states" of a human being containing 10^27 atoms is going to be around 2^(10^27) if each atom could store 1 bit, so the time it takes to learn your opponent's Markov chain in real life is going to far exceed the lifetime of that human, or for that matter of the universe.
Hmm, this reminds me of my universal combination lock-picker, which simply outputs the digits of the binary Champernowne constant: 0.1 10 11 100 101 110 111 1000 1001 1010 ... I made a very slightly better (possibly optimal?) version by concatenating the output of maximal LFSRs: 011 0010111 000100110101111 0000100101100111110001101110101 000001... This resembles an infinite de Bruijn sequence. Sincerely, Adam P. Goucher
participants (2)
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Adam P. Goucher -
Warren Smith