Bernie wins 1/7 coin tosses. 2^7 = 128 possibilities. 7 of them have Bernie getting exactly 1 heads. 7/128 ~ 5.469% Which is small, but considerably larger than the initial report, which said that Bernie got 0/6: 1/64 ~ 1.56%. https://www.salon.com/2016/02/02/critics_cry_foul_over_coingate_hillary_clin... "Even before all the precincts were reported, the characteristically confident Clinton campaign had immediately declared victory."