Re: [math-fun] highly enriched uranium (HEU) improvised nuclear bomb
"Little Boy" had 64kg of HEU. A basketball is 25cm in diameter, and has a volume of 8181 cm^3. U has a density of 19.1 g/cm^3, so this U basketball weighs 156kg (~350#), or about 2.5x Little Boy. Little Boy's yield was ~15ktons, so Perry's basketball might yield 35-40 ktons. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Boy It is my understanding that the "problem" with the Little Boy design is that it is incredibly inefficient in its use of fissile material. On the other hand, it is also my understanding that the design is almost trivial. Perry obviously gave himself a much larger mass to enable an even more incredibly inefficient design to still "work". However, if you're in a position to make your own material, you will have plenty of time (while it's being processed) to investigate more efficient designs. At 05:42 PM 5/19/2016, Thane Plambeck wrote:
From an email I just received that was signed by the governor of California and William J Perry
"A quantity of HEU the size of a basketball would be sufficient to make an improvised nuclear bomb that had the explosive power of the Hiroshima bomb and was small enough to fit into a delivery van. Such a bomb, delivered by van (or fishing boat) and detonated in one of our cities, could essentially destroy that city, causing hundreds of thousands of casualties, as well as major social, political, and economic disruptions."
My question: is this really true? I mean, supposing a small group of people accomplished getting that much HEU, is it really just a matter of "improvisation" to detonate it? I was under the perhaps mistaken impression that detonating it involved some serious engineering chops, especially if you dont want to kill or fatally irradiate yourself in the attempt.
-- Thane Plambeck tplambeck@gmail.com http://counterwave.com/
To a zeroth order approximation, the output of Little Boy was less than or similar to the energy cost of its HEU separation, so Little Boy merely enabled a WWII airplane to carry 15,000 kg of TNT in a 4,400 kg bag. This is a "compression ratio" of only 3.4:1. (I hope I got my units right!) It's one heck of a lot cheaper to get a bigger truck & some medical waste. In 1947, a fertilizer ship blew up in Galveston Bay in one of the largest non-nuclear explosions in history. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas_City_disaster At 06:14 PM 5/19/2016, Henry Baker wrote:
"Little Boy" had 64kg of HEU.
A basketball is 25cm in diameter, and has a volume of 8181 cm^3.
U has a density of 19.1 g/cm^3, so this U basketball weighs 156kg (~350#), or about 2.5x Little Boy. Little Boy's yield was ~15ktons, so Perry's basketball might yield 35-40 ktons.
Nuts! I think I'm off by a factor of 1,000, so the compression ratio is a far more interesting 3,400:1. 15000/4.4 = 3409. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TNT_equivalent At 06:52 PM 5/19/2016, Henry Baker wrote:
To a zeroth order approximation, the output of Little Boy was less than or similar to the energy cost of its HEU separation, so Little Boy merely enabled a WWII airplane to carry 15,000 kg of TNT in a 4,400 kg bag. This is a "compression ratio" of only 3.4:1. (I hope I got my units right!)
I stopped worrying so much about terrorist nukes after I played around with this: http://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/ If the 10MT Ivy Mike H-Bomb (8x bigger than the current largest bomb in the US arsenal) was detonated at the optimal altitude above downtown San Francisco, then the only ring that reaches Mountain View is "50% chance of a sunburn". A 10KT "terrorist" nuke (and that seems quite optimistic to me) has perhaps a mile radius. On Fri, May 20, 2016 at 7:20 PM, Marc LeBrun <mlb@well.com> wrote:
="Henry Baker" <hbaker1@pipeline.com> It's one heck of a lot cheaper to get a bigger truck & some medical waste.
Yup. Nukes are flashy, but biobombs seem much scarier.
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