FYI -- Shouldn't we use at least 6 data points for this particular Triple Crown? :-) https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fancy-stats/wp/2016/05/05/why-you-should... "The field for the 2016 Kentucky Derby is set and Nyquist, at 3-to-1 odds, is the favorite to win the 142nd running of the roses." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nyquist_rate