10 Jun
2014
10 Jun
'14
1:03 p.m.
I'll just say that with all the progress so far with machines understanding and generating natural-ish speech (Watson on Jeopardy!, Siri, etc.) . . . I expect that within 10 years the Turing Test will be passed by a computer so that virtually everyone knowledgeable in the field will agree this has occurred. Especially if computers are trained by a feedback machine-learning system, they could be continually improving over the course of 10 years. Just as Hubert Dreyfuss insisted a computer could never defeat the world chess champion in "What Computers Can't Do" (1972) (and maybe again in "What Computers Still Can't Do" (1992) ???), but was proved wrong when Deep Blue beat Garry Kasparov in 1997. --Dan