Memorial Day Holiday Weekend
Forecast
GSL Slip Renters and Marina
Users.
I have had some requests for my
opinion on the weather forecast for Great Salt Lake this weekend. So
I have provided a forecast for Memorial Day weekend. Realize that I am not
a meteorologist so this forecast may not be worth the garbage that it may
be. The forecast is based on my interpretation of all the weather charts I
look at during the day. It is also focused on the general marina area
but does have some applications for the whole Great Salt Lake So here
it is for what its worth:
Current
Conditions
Lake Level
4195.9
Lake Level
Trend Steady
Water
Temperature 58 degrees
Current
Flows Most
currents are running low to moderate but may pickup by Monday.
Snowpack
97%
Moon Stage
Mostly full but
waning
Saturday
Cloudy and remaining
cool
High
63 degrees
Max Real feel
60
degrees
Winds (on the
lake) S at 10 mph gusting to 20 mph (might
have a north flow at the marina)
Maximum UV
5
Thunderstorm
Probability: Low (19%)
Amount of
Precip. 0.02
Hours of
precip. 1
hour
Prob. of precip (1am to
4am) 40%
Prob. of precip (4am to
7am) 50%
Prob. of precip (7am to
1pm) 25%
Prob. of precip (1pm to
7pm) 7%
Sunrise
6:04pm
Sunset
8:46pm
Sea
conditions: Generally
light near the marina. light to moderate southerly swells farther
north.
Water
temperatures: Mid to high 50's
Hypothermia index:
Exhaustion or unconciousness in 1 to 2 hours / death in
1 to 6 hours
General wind on the GSL will be
dominated by a light to moderate southerly flow through the day although local
areas may vary at times and thunderstorms may also temporarily affect the wind
flow.
Temperatures will remain below
normal.
Low probability for high
winds
Low probability for
thunderstorms.
A weather warning might be
issued if thunderstorms develop but is not likely at this time
Saturday
Night
Cloudy with periods of rain
late
Low
46 degrees
Minimum Real
Feel 41 degrees
Winds
S at 13 mph gusting to 21 mph (might have
a north flow at the marina)
Thunderstorm
Probability: Low (12%)
Amount of
precip. 0.01
Hours of
precip. 3 hours
Prob. of precip (7pm to
1am) 8%
Moonrise
12:18am
Moonset
9:34am
Sea
conditions: Generally
light near the marina. light to moderate local swells farther north
Water
temperatures: Mid to high 50's
Hypothermai
Index: Exhaustion or unconciousness in 1 to 2 hours /
death in 1 to 6 hours
General winds on the GSL will be
dominated by a light and dying southerly flow through the night. Local
areas may vary at times and thunderstorms may also temporarily affect the wind
flow.
Temperatures will remain below
normal
Low probability of high
winds
Low probability of
thunderstorms.
A weather warning might be
issued if thunderstomrs develop but is not likely at this time
Sunday
Considerable
cloudiness
High 66
degrees
Maximum real
feel 64 degrees
Winds S
at 9 mph gusting to 16 mph (might have a northerly flow at the
marina)
Maximum uv
4
Thunderstorm
Probability: Low (17%)
Amount of
precip: 0.00
Hours of
precip: 1
Prob. of precip (1am to
7am) 54%
Prob. of precip (7am to
1pm) 31%
Prob. of precip (1pm to
7pm) 7%
Sunrise
6:03am
Sunset
8:47pm
Sea
conditions: Generally
light
Water
temperatures: Mid to high 50's
Hypothermia
index: Exhaustion or unconciousness in 1 to
2 hours / death in 1 to 6 hours
General wind on the GSL will be
affected by local geographic and thermal conditions. General wind patterns
will be light flowing off the lake and towards land features.
Temperatures will remain below
normal
Low probability of high
winds
Low probability of
thunderstorms
A weather warning is unlikely at
this time
Sunday
Night
Mainly clear
Low:
47 degrees
Minimum real
feel: 39 degrees
Winds
ESE at 14 mph with gusts to 22 mph
Thunderstorm
probability: low (10%)
Amount of
precip: 0.00
Hours of rain
0
Prob. of precip (7pm to
1am) 4%
Moonrise 12:52am
Moonset
10:39am
Sea
conditions: Generally light
Water
temperatures: Mid to high 50's
Hypothermia
index: Exhaustion or unconciousness in 1 to
2 hours / death in 1 to 6 hours
General winds on the GSL will be
affected by local geographic and thermal conditions. General wind patterns
will be light flowing back on the lake away from land features.
Temperatures will remain below
normal
Low probability of high
winds
Low probability of
thunderstorms
A weather warning is unlikely at
this time
Monday
Pleasant with partial
sunshine
High 71
degrees
Maximum real
feel: 68 degrees
Winds
WSW at 14 with gusts to 24mph (further up the lake.
Likely a north flow near the marina).
Maximum
UV 7
Thunderstorm
probability: Low (15%)
Amount of
precip. 0.00
Hours of
precip. 0
Prob. of precip (1am to
7am) 4%
Prob. of precip (7am
on) 3%
Sunrise:
6:03am
Sunset:
8:48pm
Sea
conditions: Generally light
Water
temperatures: Mid to high 50's
Hypothermia
index: Exhaustion or unconciousness
in 1 to 2 hours / death in 1 to 6 hours
General winds on the GSL will be
affected by local geographic and thermal conditions until afternoon where a
light southerly pattern is likely to develop (winds will likely be light from
the north at the marina)
Low probability of high
winds
Low probability of
thunderstorms
A weather warning is unlikely at
this time
Monday
Night
Hopefully quiet at the
marina
Thats it. Take it for what
its worth. Its mostly my guess. Keep informed by local weather
sources such as NOAA, radio and television.
Give me feedback. If you
would like the forecasts for holiday weekends to continue, I will try to do
them. If you don't, I will be happy to stop them
Dave Shearer
Harbormaster
Great Salt Lake
Marina
Have you checked your docklines
lately?