HB Arnett’s

COUGAR SPORTSLINE

 801 372  0819

hbarnett@fiber.net and hbarnett@xmission.com

PO Box 50424 Provo, Utah 84605

 

Vol. 29, Issue 24 – January 19, 2009

                                                                                                    

Click Here To Order Or Renew Your Subscriptions

 

 

DISAPPOINTMENT AND DISAPPOINTMENT

 

  There is the disappointment of BYU losing its first MWC game, a 62-81 loss to New Mexico last Saturday afternoon in Albuquerque, and then there is the disappointment of UNLV.

  The Rebels are actually coming off a win over Wyoming last Saturday, but regardless of how you shade or spin it, UNLV has been a disappointment in league play with their current 2-2 record.

  The disappointment is based on the Rebels being the pre season pick to win it all in the Mountain West Conference race this year only to stub their toe in their first two league road games. UNLV lost to TCU in Fort Worth and then in the big stunner dropped a game to the Rams of Colorado State.

  Speaking of pre-season picks, BYU's Lee Cummard and UNLV's Wink Adams were selected at co-players of the year by the media.

  It should be a good matchup between two of the premier players in the league when they face each other on Wednesday, Jan 21 in Provo.

  UNLV will have plenty of motivation and so should BYU. The Cougars will be intent on redeeming themselves for a lackluster performance at New Mexico and UNLV will be looking to make up lost ground in the road losses at TCU and CSU.

  The game is set to tip at 8 pm Mountain time and will be televised on CBS C.

  Regardless of what happens against the Rebels, BYU will still have their feet to the fire on Saturday when they go up against San Diego State. The Aztecs are hands down the most athletic team in the league and that athleticism always seems to give the Cougars defensive problems. SDSU is currently 12-4 on the year and 2-1 in league play. The Aztecs lost 83-79 to Wyoming in Laramie on Saturday.

  They get New Mexico in San Diego on Wednesday.

  Speaking of the Lobos and the loss BYU suffered, New Mexico beat BYU at its own game. The Lobos outshot BYU. New Mexico shot 44.8% from the floor, 38.9% from the arc and 88% from the line. BYU's numbers were only 38.9% from the floor, 28.6% from the arc and just 66.7% from the charity stripe.

  Jimmer Fredette led the Cougars in scoring with 15 and Jonathan Tavernari added 13 points. Conspicuously absent was Lee Cummard. He had just 7 points on 1-of-7 shooting for the night.

 

MISSING INGREDIENT?

 

  It was a nice seven-day stretch for BYU-bound Tyler Haws. All the 6-5 wing from Lone Peak HS did was lead his team to three straight wins. He scored 33 and pulled down 19 rebounds in a 94-72 win over Brighton. His numbers and minutes went down against Spanish Fork in a 102-47 blowout. He still managed 25 points and 6 rebounds in about 20 minutes of work.

  When Lone Peak defeated Pleasant Grove last Friday night, 64-57, it was a match up of two Division I players. C.J. Wilcox, who is headed to the University of Washington, scored 24, but Haws had 38.

  We bring all of this up because as good as Haws is in high school, we don't expect to see those same prolific scoring numbers at the next level with BYU - at least early in his career.

  BYU has plenty of scorers from the wing already, but what they don't have and haven't had since Travis Hansen was in the program, is a player that can consistently get to the foul line.

 

Attack the Rim

 

  They will get that again with the arrival of Haws. He is a decent perimeter shooter, but not a great one. His game is based on his ability to attack the rim and score from the open court.   He is a fixture at the foul line because he can get to the rim whenever he wants. When he doesn't, it is because he has been hammered and mugged and finds himself at the charity stripe.

  In case you haven't been paying attention, BYU is scoring a lot of points, but in crunch time, they seldom get to the line.

  We don't think it is a coincidence that in the Cougars' three losses, their opponents all shot more free throws.

  Against ASU, the Sun Devils had 31 attempts to BYU's 19. Wake Forest shot 36 free throws while BYU attempted just 20.

  New Mexico had 25 free throw attempts to BYU's 21.

  In all three losses, Lee Cummard has been a non-factor. He also has been missing in action at the foul line in those same three games.

  Against ASU, Cummard was just 3-5 while James Harden, the Sun Devil star was 16-21 in the same contest.

  Jeff Teague of Wake Forest was 12-14 against the Cougars while Cummard was 5-7. The Lobos' Daniel Farris was 7-7 against the Cougars and Cummard was 4-4 from the charity srtipe.

  As a team you can take it further back to BYU's last three post season games, all of which were losses. Last year against Texas A&M, the Aggies shot 17 free throws and BYU 13. Against Xavier, the previous year, the Musketeers shot 29 free throws to just 13 for the Cougars. Against Houston in the NIT in Dave Rose's first year at the helm, the Cougars of Houston had 28 attempts and the BYU Cougars had 16.

 

Not in Same League

 

  Granted, Cummard is not in the league of Teague and Harden, both of whom are sure-fire NBA first round picks.

  He is also not in the same league when it comes to free throw attempts. Cummard as shot just 65 free throws in 17 games. Teague has 131 attempts and Harden has 149 tries in the same amount of games.

  A more fair talent comparison would be found in the MWC. Wyoming's Brandon Ewing has taken 142 shots already this season from the free-throw line.

  Wink Adams, who was selected as the preseason co-mvp, along with Cummard has shot 85 free throws so far this season.

 Jimmer Fredette, BYU's best penetrator and most consistent player in getting to the front of the rim, has just 51 free throw attempts on the season.

  If you want to make an in-house comparison, Cummard is currently averaging 3.8 free throw attempts per game in this, his senior season.

  Travis Hansen attempted 204 free throw attempts during his final year of eligibility which worked out to be 6.4 attempts per contest.

 

Convert

 

  To BYU's credit, when Cummard and Fredette do get to the line, they convert most of the time. Cummard is currently shooting .831 from the charity stripe and Fredette converts .843 of his attempts.

  They just aren't getting there often enough, especially in games against good teams.

  BYU does get a few free throw attempts from the post, but they aren't productive attempts. Chris Miles has been at the line 43 times this year, but made just 19 free throws for a .442 percentage. Gavin MacGregor has attempted 28 free throws and converted just 16 for a .571 rate.

  Those both are Trent Plaisted-type percentages. The former BYU post player had no trouble going to the line last season for the Cougars. He was there 260 times, but shot only .542 on his free tosses.

  Dave Rose is always talking about attacking the basket and getting to the foul line, but from our vantage point, it looks like he will have to wait until a player like Haws arrives to get his wish.

 

Last Thought

 

  One last thought. BYU currently has a player on the roster that does get to the free throw line consistently and can covert. It takes some extreme extrapolation to make a case for Archie Rose, but in just 100 minutes of action this season, Rose has attempted 25 free throws and made 21 of those attempts for a .840 shooting percentage.

  Cummard has logged 510 minutes this year and that works out to a free throw attempt for every 7.8 minutes he is on the floor. Rose gets to the line every 4 minutes.

  Travis Hansen went to the line for every 5.02 minutes he was on the court. For the record, Jonathan Tavernari, has played 511 minutes so far this season and attempted just 28 free throws. That is one attempt for every 18.25 minutes he is on the floor.

  Again, it requires some creative extrapolation, especially since complete stats for high school games are hard to come by, but in the two game we personally watched Tyler Haws play this season, he went to the line at an average of once for every 2 minutes he was on the court. We would bet that over the current season he is probably at the 3.75 minute or under ratio for free throws to minutes played.

  That is an incredible stat regardless at which level, high school, college or pro level, it occurs.

 

NAMES AND GAMES

 

BYU Volleyball...Timing is everything. BYU finally gets a chance to host the NCAA Men's Volleyball Championship in Provo in early May, but likely won't have a good enough team to have a realistic chance to make an appearance in the event that they are hosting.

  The Cougars are currently just 2-3 on the year.

  It wasn't much better for the women's program. The Lady Cougars finished with a lackluster 14-12 record and a 7-9 losing resume in Mountain West Conference play.

  Add another loss to the record.

  BYU was happy to announce the signing of Kylin Munoz to a letter of intent in November when the highly touted prep prospect from Washington inked with the Cougars.

  She was touted as the No. 6 volleyball recruit in the nation by prepvolleyball.com. It was a major recruiting coup for first-year coach Shay Goulding to get Munoz from under the noses of Washington, one of the top women's volleyball programs in the nation.

  Munoz recently sent an email to the media in Washington to announce a change of heart and her intentions of not playing for the Cougars. Here is the full text of Munoz's e-mail.

  "I have received several inquiries and questions about where I will be attending college next year. I am sending this email to let you know that I have asked for a release from BYU and have decided to not play volleyball or attend the university in 2009. My decision to forego playing for the cougars next year was not made easily, but ultimately something I felt necessary for personal reasons. I wish the BYU program and Coach Goulding the best of luck in their volleyball future. I have applied to, and hope to attend, the University of Washington. As for right now I am focusing and looking forward to my 2009 club season.”

  While she can enroll at Washington, without a release from BYU she would have to sit out an athletic year and would lose a year of eligibility before playing for the Huskies.

 

BYU vs. USC...BYU football fans are hoping that this is the year that the USC recruiting spell over BYU is broken.

  In case you haven't been paying attention, Pete Carroll and his Trojans have repeatedly whipped the Cougars when it comes to signing the top LDS Polynesian prospects.

  Hope springs eternal and this year is no different. BYU has offers on the table to Xavier Su'a Filo, an offensive lineman from Timpview HS in Provo and Manti Te'o, a linebacker from Punahou HS in Hawaii.

  The Cougars and Bronco Mendenhall would desperately love to sign both. As history has shown, however, if USC wants the same recruit, BYU's recruiting success is not good when going head-to-head with the Trojans.

  USC has already snared one of the premier LDS juco talents when they received a commitment from Hebron Fangupo, a defensive lineman from Mt. Sac JC in California.

  Peter Carroll was in the home of Su'a Filo on Sunday and Te'o has saved his last official visit for USC later this month.

  BYU thought they had Unona Kavienga locked up last year only to have USC cast their spell.

  Others that BYU coveted that signed with USC include Duce Lutui, Kaluka Maiava, Stanley Havili, and Christian Tupou.

  All are LDS. Fili Moala wasn't recruited by BYU, but he is LDS. Jordan Cameron is also LDS and on the USC roster, but after signing with BYU in basketball, his stay was short lived in Provo because of some reasons that were non-basketball related. Cameron redshirted this past season on the football team and is now working out with the USC basketball team.

  Because most of us are too caught up in the BYU football scene, we have a hard time being objective when it comes to the BYU-USC recruiting battle.

  From what we have seen and heard, it appears that those LDS Polynesian players that sign with USC, have a good experience and enjoy their stay in Los Angeles.

  The BYU fan retort always revolves around LDS missions. They are quick to point out that the chances of these players serving LDS missions are diminished by going to USC.

    Here is another huge factor, in our opinion. Playing for the Trojans gives these kids an NFL exposure.

  We aren't talking about actually playing in the league, but are talking about the NFL type adoration and attention these kids receive from fans and the Los Angeles media.

  Remember, there is no NFL team in Los Angeles. USC is the NFL for the Los Angeles market.

  Dave Rose was 6-0 against New Mexico until this past weekend, so maybe there is hope that Bronco Mendenhall and BYU can break the USC winning streak this year.

  We aren't going to hold our breath.

 

BYU BASKETBALL EMPLOYEES...The 19-point loss to New Mexico last Saturday was disappointing, but it happens, even to ranked teams this past weekend. Northwestern took down Minnesota, Syracuse spanked Notre Dame in the Carrier Dome and Stanford took down Cal. All upsets were on the road for the ranked teams.

  Two ranked teams that didn't lose on the road, actually helped the Cougars immensely this past weekend.

  Both Wake Forest and Arizona State are working for the Cougars in helping them get an NCAA tourney invite and a decent seed when and if that invite comes.

  Wake went to No. 9 Clemson and in a battle of undefeated teams, stayed that way. The Demon Deacons are now 16-0 on the year. Arizona State, the No. 15 ranked team, beat No.7 rated UCLA in Pauley Pavilion 61-58 in overtime.

  Both of those wins will help BYU's strength of schedule and RPI.

 

ONE MORE RECRUIT ON BOARD

 

  Thomas Bryson, a 6-5, 215 pound defensive end/linebacker, committed to the Cougars this past weekend.

  He wasn't even on the BYU recruiting radar until about a week ago. He visited BYU's campus this past weekend and BYU offered. He had other offers from Stanford, Washington State, Idaho, Utah State and Southern Utah.

  He prepped at Layton HS in Utah and fits the current BYU recruiting profile in that he is LDS. All current commits are members of the LDS Church.

  Also in for a visit this past weekend was Cody Hoffman, a 6-3, 210 pound receiver/defensive back from Del Norte HS in Crescent City, Calif.

  He is not LDS and as yet has not received an offer. That may change if BYU isn't able to land their remaining "big three" on their priority signing list.

  That refers to Hawaii linebacker Manti Te'o, offensive lineman Xavier Su'a Filo from Timpview HS in Provo and linebacker L.T. Filiaga from Bingham HS in Utah.

  Here is BYU's current list of verbal commits.

 

Terry Alletto, OL, 6-3, 260, Ponderosa HS, CO

Trevor Bateman, DB, 5-11, 180, Palm Desert HS, CA

Craig Bills, DB, 6-2, 205, Timpview HS, UT

Thomas Bryson, DE/LB, 6-3, 215, Layton HS, UT

Tui Crichton, OL, 6-4, 280, Timpview HS, UT

Jray Galea'i, DB, 6-0, 175, Kahuku HS, HI

Anthony Heimuli, RB, 5-11, 225, Mountain View HS, UT

Peni Maka'afi, RB, 5-10, 215, Layton HS, UT

Mitch Mathews, WR, 6-5, 195, Southridge HS, OR

Ryan Mulitalo, OL, 6-3, 285, Hunter HS, UT

Riley Nelson, QB, 6-1, 190, transfer from Utah State

Remington Peck, TE/LB, 6-5, 215, Bingham HS, UT

Brett Thompson, WR, 6-3, 210, Oak Ridge HS, CA

Adam Timo, RB, 6-1, 190, Snow Canyon HS, UT

Fono Vakalahi, OL, 6-4, 320, Bryan HS, TX

Kyle Van Noy, LB, 6-4, 215, McQueen HS, NV

Brad Wilcox, OL, 6-7, 240, North HS, OK

Richard Wilson, TE, 6-3, 225, Spanish Fork HS, UT

 

TELEVISION TIMETABLE

 

BYU vs. UNLV

Wed, Jan 21 at Provo

Tipoff: 8:00 pm Mountain Time

TV: CBS C

BYU vs. SDSU

Sat, Jan 24 at Provo

Tipoff: 7:00 pm Mountain Time

TV: Mtn

BYU vs. Utah

Tue, Jan 27 at Salt Lake

Tipoff: 8:00 pm Mountain Time

TV: Mtn