HB Arnett’s

801 372 - 0819

hbarnett@fiber.net

1391 West 800 South – Orem, Utah 84058

 

Vol. 35, Issue 10 –September 29, 2014

 

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BYU: The Best is Yet to Come

 

Taysom Hill single handedly won BYU’s bye week.

 

With time available that normally is reserved for getting ready of the next opponent, the junior quarterback had a Jimmer-like jaunt through national media interviews last week. Click here for the details.

 

Hill improved BYU’s brand and his own with the professional way he handled himself on national sports shows.

 

Now he gets some help beginning this week as the Cougars get back to playing games.

 

Hill is still the BYU offense but that offense is about to go from very good to very explosive.

 

Most Cougar fans put Nick Kurtz, the 6-6 juco receiver, on the back burner while he nursed a stress fracture in his foot. Now he is just the burner BYU has needed to stretch defenses.

 

Before the season, Bronco Mendenhall said that Kurtz had been having the best fall camp of any player on the roster. Before the season started I said that Jordan Leslie would remind fans of Austin Collie. I also said that Kurtz would be a poor man’s version of Randy Moss.

 

His return is perfect timing.

 

Opposing defenses have been game planning and stacking the box for Hill to take away BYU’s greatest offensive asset which is Hill’s ability to take over a game with his legs.

 

Now with Kurtz back, look for Hill to do what he did in fall camp and go deep and over the top with a receiver who can actually go deep and go by corners and safeties.

 

Quite frankly, stacking the box to take away Hill hasn’t been that productive because Hill is that good even with 8 men crowding the line of scrimmage.

 

Hill still made defenses pay with his feet. Now if they continue that strategy of defending the BYU offense, he should make them pay by going deep.

 

It has been a while since BYU has had a legitimate deep threat on the outside. Beginning this week, it should get very interesting and entertaining.

 

In addition to Kurtz, BYU should also get back players like Bronson Kaufusi, Algernon Brown and Brayden Kearsley. All have been nursing ankle injuries.

 

Next to Kurtz, Kaufusi will be the most welcomed back. The Cougars don’t have a pass rush with their normal front four. With Kaufusi back, Nick Howell, the BYU defensive coordinator, can now have more options and pressure packages to help fix this major defensive deficiency.

 

The Aggies will play hard and they will come after Hill. Without their version of Hill in Chuckie Keeton, USU won’t have enough offensive firepower to win this game. Aggie coaches are mum on whether Keeton will play against the Cougars. Even if Keeton does play, Hill would have to not play for BYU to lose this game.

 

Las Vegas agrees. They have BYU installed as an 18 point favorite.

 

I have installed Nick Kurtz as a new BYU fan favorite. He won’t disappoint.

 

I call it BYU 44 USU 17.

 

Football Fluff

 

Last week, I said that Harvey Langi, the Utah transfer middle linebacker, had not played a down this season for BYU. Several subscribers emailed to correct my mistake and said that he has seen spot action.

 

Trent Hosick, the quarterback who committed to BYU after leaving Missouri has finally found some success. He started the season at Northeastern Oklahoma and then enrolled at Arizona Western in Yuma.

 

He has been given the starting quarterback job and is producing and playing well. That may be just in time if Taysom Hill opts for the NFL after this season.

 

It is not out of the question that Hill could choose the NFL over a senior season. His clock is ticking. He is 24 and married. A great year this season will put him in position to be drafted by a team in the NFL and make some money.

 

For those that think he should stick around for his senior year and then make more money, ask Matt Leinart of USC how that worked out for him.

 

It will be interesting to see how this turns out. We would all love to see Hill back with the likes of Nebraska, Michigan, East Carolina and UCLA on the schedule next year, but money and marriage should never be discounted in his decision.

 

Speaking of future teams on the BYU schedule, the Cougars inked a four-game deal with UMass. Two games will be played in Provo in 2016 and 2017, with games set for the New England Patriots’ Gillette Stadium in 2018 and 2019.

 

Butts, Beer and Brisket

 

Just a few years ago, I remember writing that college basketball was headed towards becoming a studio sport where games were mostly played in front of cameras and not fans in the seats.

 

By that, I meant that the sport had become oversaturated with too many games on too many days available for viewing. Why venture out in the snow and cold when you could sit in front of your screen with your feet up and food in front of you?

 

Could it be that many football schools no longer have butts in their seats because they sold their souls and those same seats to TV networks?

 

Economically, it is a no-brainer tradeoff that enables schools to survive financially. BYU is no different. They need their games televised to significantly supplement their revenue needed to support all the other non revenue sports.

 

Like other schools, they look to be trading filled seats for filled financial coffers that TV deals offer.

 

It is obvious that BYU is not filling their football stadium anymore. Sure, the Utah and Utah State games will be in demand along with teams like Texas that have a national brand and a fan base that will buy tickets regardless of where the Horns play.

 

How do they do it?

 

You can point to those same national brand schools that still fill their stadiums and ask how they can do it.

 

In my opinion, it is because of beer and brisket. These schools are fulfilling a cultural need of their fan bases to spend an entire day socializing with beer and barbeque. The football games are nice, but not necessary. They are the excuse for continuing their cultural experiences.

 

Cougar football doesn’t fit the cultural needs of its patrons, almost all of whom are LDS. Here are my lists of why attendance is dwindling and some ideas for fixing the issue.

 

Problems: Traffic Time and Tivo. Traffic to and from the stadium is now much worse than it was just a few years ago. Tivo and other technological advances have made watching the game at home much more enjoyable. The food is better at home and so is the access to bathrooms. BYU’s game day atmosphere will never be like it is at other schools. Rah Rah and rowdiness at other schools is just a euphemism for inebriation.

 

Time is the other killer for a full stadium for BYU. Most fans of other schools make football the focus of their weekend. If a game takes a full day in which to enjoy and inebriate, there is always Sunday to recuperate and recover.

 

That doesn’t apply for BYU fans with their Sunday schedules planned for anything but recuperation and recovery. For 95 percent of college football fans, football is their religion and they worship all weekend long.

 

So what can BYU do to insure their stadium is full?

 

They are already doing the most important thing. They are winning. If your product is good enough, for long enough, people will patronize and purchase it. Quite frankly, the BYU football product was mediocre the last few seasons and it will take a few very good years to recover from that ultimate marketing failure.

 

Put Patrons in Pews

 

If brisket and beer isn’t part of the BYU football culture and will never be, then here are some ideas to parlay the BYU cultural to Cougar football and hopefully put more patrons in the pews. You can decide if these ideas are feasible or farcical.

 

1. Instead of cases of beer in the stadium parking lots, how about cases of canned goods. There’s northing like a good case lot sale to bring out the frugal football fan and his wife. Buy three cases of green beans from Macey’s, and get a free south end zone ticket for today’s game.

 

2. Market BYU football with BYU Education Week. Buy season tickets for the hubby and get a free week pass to Education week for the wife. Or vice versa.

 

3. If you have sold out to television, don’t punish those buying actual tickets by taking away their television for games. Get Wi-Fi for the stadium and Marriott Center and let patrons bring their tablets and iPads to watch what those staying home get to watch.

 

4. Never forget that it’s all about football. No promotion will sell seats like good players and a good team can. It’s all about getting good players and keeping them coming. Do that and selling out a stadium will take care of itself.

 

Stalking the SOS

 

We are still stalking BYU’s Strength of Schedule to see if there will be a realistic chance of the Cougars landing a spot on the big dance card for New Year’s Eve or New Year’s Day.

 

Here is how the teams on BYU schedule fared last week:

 

UConn; 1-4, lost 36-10 to Temple, next up: bye

Texas; 2-2, beat Kansas 23-0, next up: Baylor

Houston; 2-2, bye, next up: Central Florida

Virginia; 3-2, beat Kent State 45-13, next up: Pitt

Utah State; 2-2, bye, next up: BYU

Central Florida; 1-2, bye, next up: Houston

Nevada; 3-1, beat San Jose State 21-10, next up: Boise State

Boise State; 3-2, lost 28-14 to Air Force, next up: Nevada

Middle Tennessee; 3-2, beat Old Dominion 41-28: Southern Miss

UNLV; 1-4, lost 34-17 to SDSU, next up: San Jose State

Savannah State; 0-4, lost 35-10 to Delaware State, Norfolk State

Cal; 3-1, beat Colorado 59-56, next up: Washington State

 

Poll Prognosticating

 

In the latest polls, BYU is now No. 18 in the AP and No. 19 in the USA Coaches Poll. In ESPN’s College Football Power Rankings, the Cougars land at No. 16 this week. Sagarin has the Cougars ranked No.23.

 

Here are some games set for this coming week involving teams ranked in front of or just behind (Nebraska) BYU in the AP Rankings. Assuming BYU beats Utah State on Friday night, there is a good chance for at nice jump by the Cougars.

 

No. 3 Alabama at No. 11 Ole Miss (both undefeated)

No. 4 Oklahoma at No. 25 TCU (both undefeated)

No. 6 Texas A&M at No. 11 Mississippi State (both undefeated)

No. 7 Baylor at Texas

No. 8 UCLA vs. Utah in LA (my upset special, I like the Utes in this spot)

No. 14 Stanford at No. 9 Notre Dame

No. 19 Nebraska at No. 10 Michigan State (somebody has to lose)

No. 15 LSU at No. 5 Auburn

 

TV Timetable

 

BYU vs. Utah State

Friday, October 3 at Provo

Kickoff: 8:15 pm MDT

TV: ESPN

BYU vs. Central Florida

Thursday, October 9 at Orlando

Kickoff: 5:30 pm MDT

TV: ESPN

BYU vs. Nevada

Saturday, October 18 at Provo

Kickoff: TBD

TV: TBD

BYU vs. Boise State

Friday, October 24 at Boise

Kickoff: 7:00 pm MDT

TV: ESPN or ESPN2